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July 15, 2025

What Impact Could Oil Prices Have on Investors?

Unlike in past decades—when oil price spikes often slowed economic growth—the global economy has become more resilient.


The U.S. is now a leading oil producer and net exporter, reducing its exposure to global supply shocks. Meanwhile, consumers are using less oil, and energy's weight in the market has declined significantly, from over one-third of the S&P 500 in 1981 to less than 4% today. Oil still matters, but it no longer carries the disruptive power it once did. However, sharp oil price increases can still cause sector-specific shocks, fuel inflation, and influence interest rate expectations. The key to protecting yourself is to maintain a diversified portfolio. If you have questions about your investment exposure to oil price fluctuations, speak with your financial advisor.

The information provided is educational and general in nature and is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, specific investment, tax, or legal advice. Individuals should seek advice from their wealth advisor or other advisors before undertaking actions in response to the matters discussed. No client or prospective should assume the above information serves as the receipt of, or substitute for, personalized individual advice.

This reflects the opinions of Focus Partners or its representatives, may contain forward-looking statements, and presents information that may change. Nothing contained in this communication may be relied upon as a guarantee, promise, assurance, or representation as to the future. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Market conditions can vary widely over time, and certain market and economic events having a positive impact on performance may not repeat themselves. Investing involves risk, including, but not limited to, loss of principal. Focus Partners' opinions may change over time due to market conditions and other factors. Numerous representatives of Focus Partners may provide investment philosophies, strategies, or market opinions that vary. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives.

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About the Author

Jason Blackwell

Chief Investment Strategist

As the Chief Investment Strategist and a Principal of Focus Partners, Jason is an investment professional with a focus on asset allocation, portfolio construction, and third-party manager selection. In his role, he is an important resource for our clients and wealth advisors, assisting them in developing portfolios designed to support their goals and communicating the firm’s investment strategy. He also serves on the Focus Partners Investment Committee and is a spokesperson for Focus Partners Investment Management.
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